Miracle on the Hudson, Flght 1549 Ditches

From Huffington Post:

NEW YORK -- A cool-headed pilot maneuvered his crippled jetliner over New York City and ditched it in the frigid Hudson River on Thursday, and all 155 on board were pulled to safety as the plane slowly sank. It was, the governor said, "a miracle on the Hudson."

One victim suffered two broken legs, a paramedic said, but there were no other reports of serious injuries.

US Airways Flight 1549, an Airbus A320 bound for Charlotte, N.C., struck a flock of birds just after takeoff minutes earlier at LaGuardia Airport, apparently disabling the engines.

The pilot, identified as Chesley B. "Sully" Sullenberger III of Danville, Calif., "was phenomenal," passenger Joe Hart said. "He landed it --I tell you what, the impact wasn't a whole lot more than a rear-end (collision). It threw you into the seat ahead of you.

"Both engines cut out and he actually floated it into the river," he said.

In a city still wounded from the aerial attack on the World Trade Center, authorities were quick to assure the public that terrorism wasn't involved.

The plane was submerged up to its windows in the river by the time rescuers arrived, including Coast Guard vessels and commuter ferries that happened to be nearby. Some passengers waded in water up to their knees, standing on the wing of the plane and waiting for help.

The GCP event was set for 3 to 7 pm, local time. The plane took off from LaGuardia at 3:26, hit a flock of birds about a minute later, and ditched into the Hudson river about 3:33. The result is Chisquare 14115.638 on 14400 df, corresponding to a p-value of 0.954, and a Z of -1.683. The cumulative deviation of the data shows a pretty steady downward trend during the 4 hour period. It is interesting to speculate (assuming the result is not mere chance fluctuation) on whether this might reflect an emotional response to a near-tragedy that turns out not to be tragic.

on the Hudson, Flght 1549 Ditches

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.

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