Candlelight Vigil 12 Mar 2003

This was a prediction suggested by several sources, beginning with the announcement of a vigil:

Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:48:07 +0000
From: "Wes Boyd,"
Subject: Please help with a Global Vigil for Peace

Dear MoveOn supporters around the world,

Please visit and plan a candlelight vigil for peace in your area on Sunday, March 16 at 7 pm. and the Win Without War coalition, together with Archbishop Desmond Tutu and many faith-based organizations, are calling this vigil, and we need your help.

Beginning in New Zealand, this will be a rolling wave of candlelight gatherings that will quickly cross the globe. It's up to you to make this happen. Today we are asking individuals, like you, to organize a vigil in each community. We're hoping that thousands of small groups around the world will be inspired to come together and stand for peace.

In the web-distributed materials for organization of the vigil, the suggestion was made to maintain the vigil for something like half an hour, beginning at 7:00 local time. Although a signal average might be a good representation, the formal prediction specified a simple accumulation over the whole 24 hours, beginning at 7:00pm in New Zealand. Standard analysis, seconds. (UTC time is 07:00 Sun Mar 16 to 07:00 Mon Mar 17)

The result was a positive outcome with Chisquare of 86945 on 86400 df and a p-value of 0.095191.

Candlelight Vigil 
12 Mar 2003

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